Doordash's Thesis

  • Value creation:
    • Consumer benefits (restaurant food at home), increased addressable market for restaurants and new category of ghost kitchens, new jobs for drivers. Solving issues such as fraud and refund.
  • Value capture:
    • Three-side network effect (customers, restaurants, drivers).
    • Exclusive data (restaurant data, customer order history, delivery routing etc.) that can be leveraged to make a better product and in advertising.
    • AI-driven market expansion (winner-take-most).
    • Its root in the physical makes it harder to displace.
    • High-risk workflows (payment flow across all three sides) -> trust premium.
    • Business model immune to AI disruption (they monetize as a percentage of the transaction, whether initiated by agents or humans).
    • Horizontal coverage (more meaningful for Shopify which covers all parts of a merchant's business)

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